Today, I saw this LinkedIn post from Kent Beck.

Predicting is indeed embedded and valuable, especially when done over short time steps, as in the above example.
which reminded me of an old post (March, 2024) that downplayed ‘Predictability.’ I wrote a critiq for this ‘punch-line’ post. I wish Kent Beck grows out of such superficial language usages.

Degrading ‘Prediction’ in general like is problematic. Of course, it relies on ‘common sense/understanding’ that one must assume that Kent Beck is talking about the LONG-TERM Predictions but giving much leeway for assumptions/speculations isn’t ideal. Moreover, how ‘long’ is really long? It’s contextual. And on a general note, the language usage is important, it has the the potential to navigate (or assist navigating) one’s mind to deeper abstractions/reasoning spaces.
Any decent thinker would know that all kinds of ‘languages’ (all communication mediums, IMO) are (extremely) limited. I also happened to understand that everything expressed/communicated (or expressible/communicable) is flawed and develops room for improvement (hence the name “Kanarupan’s Legacy Layers” by the way). But that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t make most of that limited tool.
And to re-iterate the superficial mindset of looking at things as black or white leading to (surprise, surprise) superficial debates such as ‘agile vs waterfall’ and ‘agile dead/alive’, ‘agility vs agile’ etc.
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